Indian real estate gets
a measly 1% share of global capital inflows
It makes for a telling revelation that considering the 11,500 developers under the CREDAI (Confederation of Real Estate Developers’ Associations
of India) umbrella, the number of developers who have consistently
delivered projects across all R
It makes for a telling revelation that considering the 11,500 developers
under the CREDAI (Confederation of Real Estate Developers’ Associations
of India) umbrella, the number of developers who have consistently
delivered projects across all three phases of the Indian residential
real estate cycle over a 11-year period, stands at a measly 124.
As per sold out year/construction complete (residential) 2005-2008
2009-2011 2012-2016 Across all three phases* Number of developers 308
647 852 124 Source: JLL Research
In percentage terms, it comes to just 1% and starkly exposes the lack of
depth in India’s realty market.
These statistics also reinforce the
justification behind recent policy-level interventions, such as the Real
Estate (Regulation & Development) Act (RERA) and demonetisation.
The sector definitely needs a shot of corporate governance and better
industry practices.
A vibrant real estate industry, with greater degree of transparency,
will bode well for future fund flows. On the back of higher transparency
and corporate governance, many more developers will be able to attract
private equity (PE) funding. Not only will this turnaround show the
confidence in our real estate industry but will also help developers
tide over the liquidity crisis, seen in recent years.
See also: Total PE into Indian real estate in 2016 vastly exceeds 2015
inflows
Why global funds have stayed away from Indian realty Out of the global
capital inflows into real estate of more than USD 610 billion in 2016,
India’s realty got a measly sum of approximately USD 6.6 billion. This
amounts to 1% and is due to the lack of depth in India’s real estate
industry and its highly-fragmented nature.
PE funds have had to struggle with finding the right partners and in recent times, their focus has
changed to quality of partners instead of IRR (internal rate of return).
Only a few developers in India have been able to attract private equity
over the years. In order to attract investments, developers need to have
high levels of integrity, quality of assets, appropriate capital
structure, experienced management teams, high levels of corporate
governance and better financial and budgetary controls.
The table below illustrates how a majority of today’s developers entered
the business, 2012 onwards. Many others have been in this business for
barely a decade. The market conditions are challenging for many,
especially those with a poor track record. A lack of fiscal prudence,
over-indulgence in land-banking and a lower degree of customer need
analysis, with the associated failure to fulfil promises by some
developers, has dealt a blow to the entire industry’s credibility and
caused a wider trust deficit between them and buyers.
As per launch year/construction start (residential) 2005-2008 2009-2011
2012-2016 Across all three phases*
Number of developers 748 853 1621 240
Source: JLL ResearchWhat the industry needs to do, to attract capital inflows Going forward,
however, increased consolidation and transparency is expected to boost
foreign and domestic investor participation like never before. This will
be a win-win situation for the developer community, as well as PE
funds. The industry, then, would be able to get a higher share of the
global capital inflows, which bodes well for its future.
The developer community, on its part, would have to invest in building
brands, forge partnerships and set up full-fledged teams, to manage
investor relationships. The stock exchange-listed players should also
maintain the highest ethical standards, while trading in their own
stock, deciding on compensation structure for directors, reducing
outstanding litigations and retention of key management personnel.
* India’s property market growth cycle can be divided into three phases:
The rapid growth witnessed from 2005 to 2008; the post-GFC (global
financial crisis) period between 2009 and 2011; and the current phase of
plateaued growth starting from the year 2012.
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