India factory activity at five-month high in March on strong demand:
PMI
The Nikkei Manufacturing Purchasing Managers'
Index, compiled by IHS Markit, rose to 52.5 in March, from 50.7 in
February, the third month in a row that is has been above the 50 mark
that separates growth from contraction.
Activity in India's manufacturing sector expanded at the fastest
pace in five months in March as output and new orders accelerated,
according to a private survey that also showed price pressures eased.
The
Nikkei Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index, compiled by IHS
Markit, rose to 52.5 in March, from 50.7 in February, the third month in
a row that is has been above the 50 mark that separates growth from
contraction.
Output and new orders sub-indexes rose to their
highest since October 2016, suggesting the world's fastest growing major
economy has largely recovered from Prime Minister Narendra Modi's shock decision in November to ban high-value currency notes.
The move caused huge disruptions to daily life and businesses in the largely cash-based economy.
The
survey also showed encouraging signs on the inflation front, which has
come squarely back on the central bank's radar in recent months.
"The
favorable demand environment was supported by relatively muted
inflationary pressures. Given that input costs rose at a softer pace, a
whopping 96 percent of goods producers kept their selling prices
unchanged over the month," said His Markit economist Pollyanna De Lima.
Input
prices rose at a slower pace compared to February, and there was a
corresponding slowdown in the pace of output price rises as well, which
likely helped increase demand.
The new orders index rose to a 5-month high of 53.6 from 51.3 the previous month.
Indian
inflation picked up pace in February to 3.65 percent, after slowing in
the previous month to 3.17 percent, its lowest in at least five years,
but it was still below the central bank's 4 percent target
The
Reserve Bank of India shifted its stance to neutral from accommodative
and kept the policy repo rate unchanged at 6.25 percent in its February
meeting, opting to wait for more clarity on inflation trends and the
impact of demonetization.
Economic growth for the October-December
quarter came in at 7.0 percent, a bit slower than the 7.4 percent in
the previous quarter but much faster than the 6.4 percent expansion
forecast by economists in a Reuters poll, many of whom had expected a
sharper hit from the cash crunch.
India's lower house of
parliament on Wednesday passed key legislations paving the way for
implementation of a nationwide goods and services tax (GST) from July,
which is expected to spur economic growth by 1 to 2 percentage points.
Most
manufacturing and services items will be taxed at standard rates of 12
percent and 18 percent under the four-slab GST structure.
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